The influence of hydrographic conditions on Baltic Sea fish stocks

The Baltic Sea is a large semi-enclosed sea that receives salt water from the North Sea and Kattegat through the Danish Straits and fresh water from surrounding rivers and precipitation. In the deeper areas of the Baltic Sea south of the Aaland Island there is a permanent salinity stratification with a low salinity surface layer (app. 7 psu) and a deep saline layer (11-17 psu). The halocline separating the surface layer from the saline layer forms an effective barrier to thermal convection. As a result, the volume and hydrographic conditions (i.e. salinity, temperature and oxygen content) of the deep saline water depend on the magnitude and intensity of inflows from the North Sea, the distance from the Danish Straits and the oxygen consumption rate.

The fresh surface water exits the basins through the shallow straits in the western Baltic, i.e. west of the Bornholm Island, while oxygenated, saline water flows in at depth. The inflowing water is mainly collected by three deep basins in the eastern Baltic, reaching first the Bornholm Basin where the water after a transition time, may pass to the eastern Gdansk Deep and the north-eastern Gotland Deep. The depth of halocline increases towards East and North in accordance with the increasing volume of fresh water relative to saline water.

The inflow of saline water through the Danish Belts is a major determinant of the oxygen and saline conditions in the deep basins of the eastern Baltic (Bornholm, Gdansk and Gotland Deeps). This inflow is wind driven and occurs with steady and strong northwesterly winds over the North Sea and the Skagerrak. In 1976 there was a strong inflow but between 1981 and 1993 no strong inflows were observed. In 1993 and in 1994 there were two moderate inflows but no inflows since then. The later part of the period without inflow from the mid 1980s to the beginning of the 1990s corresponds to years with poor cod recruitment. After the inflow in 1993-94 the oxygen conditions have improved and the bottom salinity has increased in the southern and central part of the Baltic. However, the recruitment has not returned to the high levels observed from the mid 1970s to the early 1980s, indicating that other factors are also important (such as the spawning stock biomass, which is low, and the high proportion of first time spawners giving low quality eggs). Sprat predation on cod eggs may also be important at least in the western part of the Baltic.

The distribution of fish in the Baltic Sea is salinity dependent. The marine fish, e.g. cod, need a minimum salinity while the fresh water species also found in the Baltic cannot tolerate a high salinity. Therefore the fresh water species are found in the coastal areas and in the northern parts of the Baltic Sea, e.g. in the Gulf of Bothnia while the marine species dominates in the Baltic Proper and the Western Baltic. The individual adult can tolerate lower salinities but requires higher salinity for successful reproduction. Many of the species have floating eggs and for these species the egg will sink to the bottom and die at lower salinities. Also the water mass associated with neutral bouyancy must have a minimum oxygen content to allow the eggs to survive around at 2 ml/l. The table below presents the minimum salinities required for reproduction for a number of species


Species Floating eggs Minimum salinity for reproduction (psu)
Cod
yes
11
Herring
no
3
Sprat
yes
5
Plaice
yes
12-13
Flounder
yes
5-6
Dab
yes
15
Turbot
yes
6-7


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